The analysis shows malic stock puts in 5 gale danger: Abrupt anticipation cliff

Malic share price comes one year power plan

Introduction: Reuter column author writings brush about - Waxike (Zhou Yizhuan article says John Wasik) , from short-term in light scooby costume of, malic share price may be behaved very good, exceed the market likely still to anticipate; But, investor ignores the risk that the place of a stock with onefold hold will bring, and from befo the most popular scooby costume re in light of the history, such stock can abide by what steep fall finally go normally situation. The 5 big item that cover with tiles Xikelie gave investor to need to notice, it is the main content of this article below:

Apple (AAPL) will release 2012 money in Zhouer year newspaper of money of season of the 2nd money. A few analysts predict, malic share price will touch 1000 dollars, its market prise will reach 1 trillion dollar. I am not clear that malic share price will go to He Fang, the product in confidential to its development also none know the inside story, but my guessing is, although the profit performance since recently is very driving, drop on that tree that Dan Ping will be in now from it eventually if really come down.

Making what I feel the afraidest is, at present the enthusiasm to malic stock and wall street value investor before other stock is worn from time to tome breathtaking similar sex, it is the risk that ignores the place of a stock with onefold hold to will be brought. Value these shares no longer in investor when, before all " star " share price can weigh defea most popular selling memory laptop most popular selling memory card digital cameras toshiba t -- and drop this kind situation often be the pay off table that is in a company remain the same now driving when happen. It is 5 notes that deserve investor consideration below:

　 1, share price steeps fall

moto gp xboxNormally orbit is such: Above all, one is had giant " story " the company is called by announce crackajack, publish the title page of a thread-bound book of all sorts of business magazines next; Next the market anticip free t mobile prepaid cards ates increase, share price rises to extremely high level; Finally, share price steeps fall. In the past in 10 old time, intel (INTC) , Cisco (CSCO) and Microsoft (small gain) (the company such as MSFT) ever abided by this one contrail without one exception. Although the analyst still thinks the apple is underestimated, but this kind observes not certain metropolis becomes clipper-built the fact that rise, also won't remove other venture factor.

　 2, inapproachable leader gones

General and electric (before GE) presiding apparitor Jackie - Welch (the head that the most popular memory laptop toshiba Jack Welch) held commercial the press when 1999, at that time he by " Forbes " magazine praise for " century handler " . Below his leader, general motors battalion closed 1981 to arrive between 2000 from 28 billion dollar cruel add to 130 billion dollar.

Although created the business that serves the diversity such as electric home appliances

　 3, tortoise ability survives

Pretty good, the apple has a few great products now, but cannot deny this company to be faced with intense whole world to compete. Still remember Nuojiya (the past such as NOK) , RIM(RIMM) and Motolora " must have " mobile phone tycoon? Technical visibility is higher, the fluctuation of share price is stronger also.

In the company of that times, is what company there is technical change and 70 time end the best survival in the Xiong Fu at the beginning of 80 time? After the top seeing 1972, the expression of consumable card and medical company just is best.

　 4, be careful poisonous apple

No matter be it may not be a bad idea of disappointing outstanding achievement display, or it is to make the product that smashed, again or it is to fail to hold a dominant position in competition, malic future won't be avoided at getting " insect " damage. Because the apple is mark general 500 indexes composition in the largest part one of, because this arrives from Beijing,Bostonian investor can pay close attention to its share price closely change. The market anticipates the main impetus that is share price, but this kind of impetus can disappear with smooth speed disappear.

　　 5, abrupt anticipation cliff

Because market prise is giant -- about prep above 2011 GDP amount of Switzerland -- cause, malic whole world suffers numerous increasing. Have share of apple of hold of so much person, whether do this mean its is risk sex lesser? Fact rather. When market sentiment changeover, its share price can be sufferred inflict heavy losses on.

Do not think this kind of my observation to the apple is a kind of baleful behavior by accident. From short-term in light of, malic share price may be behaved very good, exceed the market likely still to free memory card digital cameras anticipate, but the huge risk heart that I can spend concentration to may be brought at place of a thing to passing all the time puts vigilance. (Civil and military / compile)